Own nothing here on valuation alone. Reduce the extremes — Arm (ARM), CoreWeave (CRWV), Intel (INTC), Micron (MU) and Astera Labs (ALAB) all trade at more than double our marks. Hold quality at fair value: NVIDIA (NVDA) and Synopsys (SNPS) are the only two names where price and value have met. Revisit the enabler layer — Broadcom (AVGO), Cadence (CDNS), TSMC (TSM) — on a 20–25% drawdown, since those are the franchises we would want to own at a price. For the anchor, the ladder below is unchanged from our 2026-07-20 company work.
```tearsheet-chart {"type":"peer_gaps","title":"Upside to IWANNAVY Fair Value — 20 names, 2026-07-21","items":[{"name":"NVIDIA (NVDA)","upside":3.3,"price":"$203.28","target":"$210"},{"name":"Synopsys (SNPS)","upside":1.5,"price":"$378.46","target":"$384"},{"name":"Broadcom (AVGO)","upside":-15.4,"price":"$378.16","target":"$320"},{"name":"Cadence (CDNS)","upside":-15.7,"price":"$329.93","target":"$278"},{"name":"Qualcomm (QCOM)","upside":-23.7,"price":"$170.32","target":"$130"},{"name":"Arista (ANET)","upside":-24.4,"price":"$169.35","target":"$128"},{"name":"TSMC (TSM)","upside":-29.4,"price":"$402.30","target":"$284"},{"name":"AMD (AMD)","upside":-29.5,"price":"$503.57","target":"$355"},{"name":"Vertiv (VRT)","upside":-36.2,"price":"$291.67","target":"$186"},{"name":"Samsung (005930.KS)","upside":-38.5,"price":"₩244,000","target":"₩150,000"},{"name":"SK Hynix (000660.KS)","upside":-39.9,"price":"₩1,764,000","target":"₩1,060,000"},{"name":"Nebius (NBIS)","upside":-42.5,"price":"$182.62","target":"$105"},{"name":"Credo (CRDO)","upside":-46.7,"price":"$212.07","target":"$113"},{"name":"Marvell (MRVL)","upside":-50.8,"price":"$194.94","target":"$96"},{"name":"Cerebras (CBRS)","upside":-51.4,"price":"$176.88","target":"$86"},{"name":"Astera Labs (ALAB)","upside":-62.5,"price":"$309.09","target":"$116"},{"name":"Micron (MU)","upside":-65.3,"price":"$865.46","target":"$300"},{"name":"Intel (INTC)","upside":-66.0,"price":"$97.06","target":"$33"},{"name":"CoreWeave (CRWV)","upside":-67.2,"price":"$73.06","target":"$24"},{"name":"Arm (ARM)","upside":-78.5,"price":"$269.61","target":"$58"}]} ```
```tearsheet-chart {"type":"action_ladder","title":"Action Plan — Cerebras (CBRS), the anchor","currency":"$","current":176.88,"levels":[{"label":"Reduce into squeeze","price":205,"weight":"50%","kind":"target"},{"label":"IPO no-chase line","price":185,"weight":"50%","kind":"target"},{"label":"Evidence entry","price":108,"weight":"25%","kind":"entry"},{"label":"Core entry at fair value","price":86,"weight":"50%","kind":"entry"},{"label":"Deep-value entry","price":70,"weight":"25%","kind":"entry"},{"label":"Severe-failure stop","price":53,"weight":"all","kind":"stop"}]} ```
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